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Friday, March 25, 2011

Libya: Unrest and U.S. Policy


Christopher M. Blanchard
Acting Section Research Manager

Over forty years ago, Muammar al Qadhafi led a revolt against the Libyan monarchy in the name of nationalism, self-determination, and popular sovereignty. Opposition groups citing the same principles are now revolting against Qadhafi to bring an end to the authoritarian political system he has controlled in Libya for the last four decades. The Libyan uprising is occurring in the context of popular protest movements and political change in other countries in North Africa and the Middle East. In mid-February 2011, confrontations between opposition activists and government security forces in the eastern cities of Benghazi and Bayda resulted in the death of some unarmed protestors. Security forces used military force in confrontations at subsequent funeral gatherings and protests in incidents that reportedly killed or wounded dozens, if not hundreds, of civilians. Opposition groups seized several police and military facilities and took control of some eastern and western cities. Qadhafi and his supporters have described the uprising as a foreign and Islamist conspiracy and are attempting to outlast their opponents.

In the weeks that have followed, opposition advances and Qadhafi-supporters’ counterattacks have pushed Libya to the brink of civil war. Multilateral efforts to evacuate third-country nationals continue, and the United States and several international partners are assisting thousands who have fled Libya and remain in temporary camps in Tunisia and Egypt. A stalemate that prevailed through early March broke in favor of pro-Qadhafi forces, which attacked opposition-held western cities and central coastal towns and now threaten cities and towns further east. Increasing concern about Qadhafi’s prospects for swift victory and the potential humanitarian and security crises that such a scenario might create have fueled intensifying international and U.S. debate about the necessity and advisability of military intervention. Both sides to the conflict continue to express wariness of direct foreign military involvement, even as the Libyan opposition Interim Transitional National Council (ITNC) called for the imposition of a no-fly zone and its calls were echoed in a March 12 Arab League Council consensus decision.

On March 17, the United Nations Security Council adopted Resolution 1973, calling for an immediate cease-fire and dialogue, declaring a no-fly zone in Libyan airspace, authorizing robust enforcement measures for the arms embargo established by Resolution 1970 of February 26, and authorizing member states “to take all necessary measures… to protect civilians and civilian populated areas under threat of attack in the Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, including Benghazi, while excluding a foreign occupation force of any form on any part of Libyan territory.” World attention is now focused on the potential steps that the United States and governments in Europe, Africa, and the Middle East may take to enforce the resolutions. Qadhafi supporters have threatened to respond to any foreign attack by striking civilian and military targets in the Mediterranean.

Until recently, the United States government was pursuing a policy of reengagement toward Qadhafi after decades of confrontation, sanctions, and Libyan isolation. President Obama now has joined some leaders in asserting that Muammar al Qadhafi must give up power. On March 18, President Obama outlined nonnegotiable demands for an end to violence and indicated the United States was prepared to act militarily as part of a coalition to enforce Resolution 1973 and protect Libyan civilians. The President said the United States would not introduce ground forces. Many observers believe that Libya’s weak government institutions, potentially divisive political dynamics, and current conflict suggest that security challenges could follow the current uprising, regardless of its outcome. In evaluating U.S. policy options, Congress may seek to better understand the roots and nature of the conflict in Libya, the views and interests of key players, and the potential consequences of various policy proposals now under consideration.



Date of Report: March 18, 2011
Number of Pages: 30
Order Number: RL33142
Price: $29.95

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